2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is as a result of the ultimate four teams, then when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they will be playing to handle the winner in the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value earlier times, they are centered on the overall game taking place.
The German squad have never beaten Italy in a very competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, just forget about regarding it, earlier times doesn't play a here role within our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany has not won against Italy in the major tournament, but precisely what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it is time for Germany to win as they are the favorite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will likely be a tricky, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method for this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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